EUR/USD Technical Analysis

<p>The EUR &sol; USD starts the week by a sharp decline&comma; with a dip to <strong>1&period;1308<&sol;strong> for the moment&comma; after a peak at 1&period;1382 last night shortly after a bullish gap at the opening of the Forex&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>The dollar profits from the perpsective of a China-USA agreement<br &sol;>&NewLine;The sharp rebound of the Dollar&comma; with a Dollar Index that exceeded last week&rsquo&semi;s highs is the main reason for this decline in the Euro-Dollar&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p><script async src&equals;"&sol;&sol;pagead2&period;googlesyndication&period;com&sol;pagead&sol;js&sol;adsbygoogle&period;js"><&sol;script><br &sol;>&NewLine;<&excl;-- Monordy --><br &sol;>&NewLine;<ins class&equals;"adsbygoogle" style&equals;"display&colon; block&semi;" data-ad-client&equals;"ca-pub-4546566709122407" data-ad-slot&equals;"8159182898" data-ad-format&equals;"auto" data-full-width-responsive&equals;"true"><&sol;ins><br &sol;>&NewLine;<script>&NewLine;&lpar;adsbygoogle &equals; window&period;adsbygoogle &vert;&vert; &lbrack;&rsqb;&rpar;&period;push&lpar;&lbrace;&rcub;&rpar;&semi;&NewLine;<&sol;script><&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>The greenback seems to have taken advantage of the weekend information that a trade agreement between China and the US would be close&comma; the Wall Street Journal even mentioned the date of March 27 for signing&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>The technical factors are no strangers to the bearish acceleration posted by the EUR &sol; USD since this morning&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Two important technical breaks<br &sol;>&NewLine;The fall has indeed accelerated significantly following a break below the moving average 200 hours&comma; which stopped the corrections of the Euro for more than a week&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>In addition&comma; the evolution of the EUR &sol; USD pair over the past few days has resulted in a graphical configuration resembling a « Shoulder-Head-Shoulder »&comma; typical of bearish reversals&comma; whose « neckline » has yielded this morning &lpar;giving rise to a sell signal&rpar;&comma; in the wake of the break below the 200-hour moving average&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p><script async src&equals;"&sol;&sol;pagead2&period;googlesyndication&period;com&sol;pagead&sol;js&sol;adsbygoogle&period;js"><&sol;script><br &sol;>&NewLine;<&excl;-- Monordy --><br &sol;>&NewLine;<ins class&equals;"adsbygoogle" style&equals;"display&colon; block&semi;" data-ad-client&equals;"ca-pub-4546566709122407" data-ad-slot&equals;"8159182898" data-ad-format&equals;"auto" data-full-width-responsive&equals;"true"><&sol;ins><br &sol;>&NewLine;<script>&NewLine;&lpar;adsbygoogle &equals; window&period;adsbygoogle &vert;&vert; &lbrack;&rsqb;&rpar;&period;push&lpar;&lbrace;&rcub;&rpar;&semi;&NewLine;<&sol;script><&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>At the beginning of the day&comma; we therefore observed two important downside technical signals&comma; which added to the fundamentals favorable to the Dollar&comma; which explains the fall of the EUR &sol; USD on Monday&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>The bearish reversal is confirmed<br &sol;>&NewLine;With more hindsight&comma; we can now estimate that the upward trend that started after the lowest annual 2019 of February 15 at 1&period;1233 which peaked with the peak at 1&period;1419 last week has now turned down&comma; which we suspected in our early EUR &sol; USD point&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>The next potential supports are on the psychological threshold of 1&period;13&comma; before 1&period;1275&comma; 1&period;1250&comma; and 1&period;1233&comma; then 1&period;1215 &lpar;trough 2018&rpar;&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p><img class&equals;"alignnone size-full wp-image-2426" src&equals;"https&colon;&sol;&sol;astorz&period;com&sol;wp-content&sol;uploads&sol;2019&sol;03&sol;52887086&lowbar;2040980825999053&lowbar;6469611896273108992&lowbar;o-1&period;jpg" alt&equals;"" width&equals;"1696" height&equals;"876" &sol;><&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>On the upside&comma; we should be able to observe a return above 1&period;1360 at least for the bearish reversal to vanish&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Upcoming important events to watch<br &sol;>&NewLine;Finally&comma; it should be noted that after an empty economic calendar on Monday&comma; the program of tomorrow will be more loaded&comma; with several indicators likely to influence exchanges on the EUR &sol; USD pair&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p><script async src&equals;"&sol;&sol;pagead2&period;googlesyndication&period;com&sol;pagead&sol;js&sol;adsbygoogle&period;js"><&sol;script><br &sol;>&NewLine;<&excl;-- Monordy --><br &sol;>&NewLine;<ins class&equals;"adsbygoogle" style&equals;"display&colon; block&semi;" data-ad-client&equals;"ca-pub-4546566709122407" data-ad-slot&equals;"8159182898" data-ad-format&equals;"auto" data-full-width-responsive&equals;"true"><&sol;ins><br &sol;>&NewLine;<script>&NewLine;&lpar;adsbygoogle &equals; window&period;adsbygoogle &vert;&vert; &lbrack;&rsqb;&rpar;&period;push&lpar;&lbrace;&rcub;&rpar;&semi;&NewLine;<&sol;script><&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>In particular&comma; the European services SMIs and retail sales in the Eurozone will be expected in the morning&comma; ahead of the services PMI&comma; services ISM and new home sales in the afternoon in the United States&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>However&comma; the possibility of a consolidation phase should also be considered if traders decide after the fall of the day to remain on the sidelines until the most important events of the week&comma; the ECB meeting on Thursday&comma; and the report NFP of Friday&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;

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