Market Analysis 24/01/2019

<p><strong>1&period; Wall Street Set to Open Higher<&sol;strong><&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Wall Street is set to open slightly higher&comma; following another batch of generally reassuring earnings reports that also drove global stocks broadly higher overnight&period; Beats from Texas Instruments &lpar;NASDAQ&colon;<span class&equals;"aqPopupWrapper js-hover-me-wrapper">TXN<&sol;span>&rpar;&comma; United Technologies &lpar;NYSE&colon;<span class&equals;"aqPopupWrapper js-hover-me-wrapper">UTX<&sol;span>&rpar; and Procter &amp&semi; Gamble Company &lpar;NYSE&colon;<span class&equals;"aqPopupWrapper js-hover-me-wrapper">PG<&sol;span>&rpar; Wednesday suggested a broad swath of the economy remains in good health&period;<br &sol;>&NewLine;<script async src&equals;"&sol;&sol;pagead2&period;googlesyndication&period;com&sol;pagead&sol;js&sol;adsbygoogle&period;js"><&sol;script><br &sol;>&NewLine;<&excl;-- Monordy --><br &sol;>&NewLine;<ins class&equals;"adsbygoogle"&NewLine; style&equals;"display&colon;block"&NewLine; data-ad-client&equals;"ca-pub-4546566709122407"&NewLine; data-ad-slot&equals;"8159182898"&NewLine; data-ad-format&equals;"auto"&NewLine; data-full-width-responsive&equals;"true"><&sol;ins><br &sol;>&NewLine;<script>&NewLine;&lpar;adsbygoogle &equals; window&period;adsbygoogle &vert;&vert; &lbrack;&rsqb;&rpar;&period;push&lpar;&lbrace;&rcub;&rpar;&semi;&NewLine;<&sol;script><&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>At 05&colon;35 AM ET &lpar;10&colon;35 GMT&rpar;&comma; the blue-chip <span class&equals;"aqPopupWrapper js-hover-me-wrapper">Dow futures<&sol;span> were up 30 points&comma; or about 0&period;10&percnt;&comma; the <span class&equals;"aqPopupWrapper js-hover-me-wrapper">S&amp&semi;P 500 futures<&sol;span> rose 4 points&comma; or around 0&period;16&percnt;&comma; while the tech-heavy <span class&equals;"aqPopupWrapper js-hover-me-wrapper">Nasdaq 100 futures<&sol;span> was indicated up 29 points&comma; or 0&period;44&percnt;&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Elsewhere&comma; <span class&equals;"aqPopupWrapper mediumTitle1 js-hover-me-wrapper">European stocks<&sol;span> were mostly higher&comma; with the tech sector rising sharply after a strong update from chipmaker <span class&equals;"aqPopupWrapper js-hover-me-wrapper">STMicro<&sol;span>&period; Earlier&comma; markets in <span class&equals;"aqPopupWrapper mediumTitle1 js-hover-me-wrapper">Asia <&sol;span>closed mostly higher&comma; following Wall Street’s lead&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p><strong>2&period; Senate Votes on Shutdown After Pelosi Bars Trump from House<&sol;strong><br &sol;>&NewLine;<script async src&equals;"&sol;&sol;pagead2&period;googlesyndication&period;com&sol;pagead&sol;js&sol;adsbygoogle&period;js"><&sol;script><br &sol;>&NewLine;<&excl;-- Monordy --><br &sol;>&NewLine;<ins class&equals;"adsbygoogle"&NewLine; style&equals;"display&colon;block"&NewLine; data-ad-client&equals;"ca-pub-4546566709122407"&NewLine; data-ad-slot&equals;"8159182898"&NewLine; data-ad-format&equals;"auto"&NewLine; data-full-width-responsive&equals;"true"><&sol;ins><br &sol;>&NewLine;<script>&NewLine;&lpar;adsbygoogle &equals; window&period;adsbygoogle &vert;&vert; &lbrack;&rsqb;&rpar;&period;push&lpar;&lbrace;&rcub;&rpar;&semi;&NewLine;<&sol;script><br &sol;>&NewLine;The Senate will vote later Thursday on rival proposals to end the partial <span class&equals;"aqPopupWrapper mediumTitle1 js-hover-me-wrapper">shutdown <&sol;span>of the federal government&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>The vote comes a day after President Donald Trump said he would put off holding his State of the Union address until the shutdown is over&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>About a quarter of the government has been shut down since Dec&period; 22 when some U&period;S&period; agencies’ funding expired for reasons unrelated to border security or immigration&period; Trump has demanded that any shutdown-ending measure must contain &dollar;5&period;7 billion for building a wall on the U&period;S&period;’s southern border&comma; funding that Democrats oppose&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p><strong>3&period; Draghi to Be Watched for Signs of ECB Rate Hike Delay<&sol;strong><&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>European Central Bank President Mario Draghi will hold a press conference after the <span class&equals;"aqPopupWrapper mediumTitle1 js-hover-me-wrapper">ECB<&sol;span>’s first policy-making meeting of the year&comma; which comes after a worrying slowdown in the euro-zone economy in recent months&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Flash estimates released earlier Thursday showed Germany’s manufacturing sector contracted in January&comma; while the <span class&equals;"aqPopupWrapper mediumTitle1 js-hover-me-wrapper">euro-zone Purchasing Managers Index<&sol;span> just stayed above the 50 level that signals expansion&period;<br &sol;>&NewLine;<script async src&equals;"&sol;&sol;pagead2&period;googlesyndication&period;com&sol;pagead&sol;js&sol;adsbygoogle&period;js"><&sol;script><br &sol;>&NewLine;<&excl;-- Monordy --><br &sol;>&NewLine;<ins class&equals;"adsbygoogle"&NewLine; style&equals;"display&colon;block"&NewLine; data-ad-client&equals;"ca-pub-4546566709122407"&NewLine; data-ad-slot&equals;"8159182898"&NewLine; data-ad-format&equals;"auto"&NewLine; data-full-width-responsive&equals;"true"><&sol;ins><br &sol;>&NewLine;<script>&NewLine;&lpar;adsbygoogle &equals; window&period;adsbygoogle &vert;&vert; &lbrack;&rsqb;&rpar;&period;push&lpar;&lbrace;&rcub;&rpar;&semi;&NewLine;<&sol;script><br &sol;>&NewLine;No change to policy is expected&comma; but the market is looking for signs that the ECB’s first rate hike since 2009 &&num;8211&semi; currently expected towards the end of this year &&num;8211&semi; will be pushed back even further&period; The <span class&equals;"aqPopupWrapper js-hover-me-wrapper">euro<&sol;span> was down 0&period;30&percnt; against the dollar at &dollar;1&period;1346&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p><strong>4&period; Jobless Claims&comma; PMI Due<&sol;strong><&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Data on <span class&equals;"aqPopupWrapper js-hover-me-wrapper">initial jobless claims<&sol;span> are due at 08&colon;30 AM ET&comma; with the number of those claiming expected to tick up slightly to 219&comma;000 from 213&comma;000 last week&period; <span class&equals;"aqPopupWrapper js-hover-me-wrapper">Markit’s U&period;S&period; PMI<&sol;span> for January is also due and is expected to show a slight drop to 53&period;5 from 53&period;8 in December&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Finally&comma; the Kansas City Fed’s <span class&equals;"aqPopupWrapper js-hover-me-wrapper">composite <&sol;span>and <span class&equals;"aqPopupWrapper js-hover-me-wrapper">manufacturing <&sol;span>indexes will be released at 16&colon;00 PM ET&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>While the figures remain broadly positive&comma; crunch trade talks between the U&period;S&period; and China next week continue to overshadow them&period; Trade tensions ratcheted up again overnight as Beijing blocked access to Microsoft&rsquo&semi;s &lpar;NASDAQ&colon;<span class&equals;"aqPopupWrapper js-hover-me-wrapper">MSFT<&sol;span>&rpar; Bing search engine in China&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p><strong>5&period; Oil Recovers From Surprise Surge in U&period;S&period; Crude Stocks<&sol;strong><&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>The more positive tone in equity markets overnight has supported <span class&equals;"aqPopupWrapper js-hover-me-wrapper">U&period;S&period; crude<&sol;span> after it fell on the back of data from the <span class&equals;"aqPopupWrapper js-hover-me-wrapper">American Petroleum Institute<&sol;span> Wednesday showing a surprise 6&period;5 million barrel rise in U&period;S&period; stocks last week&period;<br &sol;>&NewLine;<script async src&equals;"&sol;&sol;pagead2&period;googlesyndication&period;com&sol;pagead&sol;js&sol;adsbygoogle&period;js"><&sol;script><br &sol;>&NewLine;<&excl;-- Monordy --><br &sol;>&NewLine;<ins class&equals;"adsbygoogle"&NewLine; style&equals;"display&colon;block"&NewLine; data-ad-client&equals;"ca-pub-4546566709122407"&NewLine; data-ad-slot&equals;"8159182898"&NewLine; data-ad-format&equals;"auto"&NewLine; data-full-width-responsive&equals;"true"><&sol;ins><br &sol;>&NewLine;<script>&NewLine;&lpar;adsbygoogle &equals; window&period;adsbygoogle &vert;&vert; &lbrack;&rsqb;&rpar;&period;push&lpar;&lbrace;&rcub;&rpar;&semi;&NewLine;<&sol;script><br &sol;>&NewLine;The <span class&equals;"aqPopupWrapper js-hover-me-wrapper">Energy Information Administration<&sol;span> will release its weekly data dump at 11&colon;00 AM ET &lpar;16&colon;00 GMT&rpar;&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>The data come against the backdrop of upheaval in <span class&equals;"aqPopupWrapper mediumTitle1 js-hover-me-wrapper">Venezuela<&sol;span>&comma; one of the biggest exporters of crude to U&period;S&period; refineries&period; The U&period;S&period; and other countries recognized Juan Gaido&comma; head of the national assembly&comma; as the legitimate President Wednesday&comma; bolstering his attempt to overthrow Nicolas Maduro&comma; whose victory in elections last year was overshadowed by claims of vote-rigging&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>The turmoil has hit the stocks of refiners Valero Energy &lpar;NYSE&colon;<span class&equals;"aqPopupWrapper js-hover-me-wrapper">VLO<&sol;span>&rpar; and PBF Energy &lpar;NYSE&colon;<span class&equals;"aqPopupWrapper js-hover-me-wrapper">PBF<&sol;span>&rpar; in premarket trade&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;

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